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Cake day: August 5th, 2023

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  • Archived Link and Generated Summary below:


    Alt. Link: https://archive.ph/rD2R4


    Generated Summary:

    A 600-word bullet point summary focusing on statistics, comparing China and the US’s energy infrastructure readiness for AI development.

    • China views energy availability for AI development as a “solved problem,” unlike the US where it’s a major bottleneck.
    • McKinsey projects a $6.7 trillion investment in new data center capacity globally (2025-2030) to meet AI’s energy demands.
    • US data center development is limited by power grid stress; some companies build their own power plants. Ohio households face at least a $15/month electricity bill increase due to data centers.
    • Goldman Sachs highlights AI’s power demand outpacing grid development cycles.
    • China annually adds more electricity demand than Germany’s total annual consumption. One Chinese province matches India’s total electricity supply.
    • China maintains an 80-100% reserve margin, meaning it has at least twice the needed capacity, allowing it to absorb AI data center demand.
    • The US typically operates with a 15% reserve margin or less, leading to warnings about grid strain during peak demand.
    • China’s energy planning is coordinated through long-term, technocratic policy, anticipating demand. The US relies heavily on private investment with shorter-term return expectations (3-5 years), unsuitable for long-term power projects (decade-long build and payoff).
    • China directs state funding to strategic sectors, accepting some project failures to ensure capacity when needed. The US lacks this public financing for long-term energy projects.
    • China’s pragmatic approach to renewables and coal use, focusing on efficiency and results, contrasts with the US’s politically charged debates.
    • Without significant changes in US energy infrastructure funding and development, China’s lead will widen.